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Performance IndexIllustrative demo

Methodology

What the two indices are made of and the rules their numbers follow, read from the API.

Data status: illustrative placeholder. Parameter version 0.7.0, engine version 0.4.0, catalogue version demo-1.0.0.

Published versions

A reading is reproducible only against all of these versions, so a saved scenario stores its request, not its figures.

Versions of the parameters, the engine and the lever catalogue
ComponentVersionWhat it governs
Tourism Performance Index parameters0.7.0Pillars, weights, indicators, shocks, effect records, targets and bounds for this index
Culture Performance Index parameters0.7.0Pillars, weights, indicators, shocks, effect records, targets and bounds for this index
Engine0.4.0The arithmetic: normalisation, pathways, decomposition, target path and the what-if overlay
Lever cataloguedemo-1.0.0The levers, their instruments and the driver each instrument works through

Index frames

Each index has its own base window, first month and horizon, so a reading is never comparable with the other index's.

Base years, base windows, observed months and horizons of each index
IndexBase yearBase windowFirst monthLatest observedHorizonTarget endSeasonal adjustment
Tourism Performance Index20242024-01 to 2024-122023-012026-092027-12month 96Applied
Culture Performance Index20252025-01 to 2025-122023-012026-092027-12month 96Applied

Pillars and headline weights

A pillar score is the weighted sum of its indicators' normalised values, and the headline combines the pillar scores by the weights below. A gated indicator gets zero weight and the rest are re-normalised over the indicators that are not gated in the same pillar. A pillar held out of the headline is still scored but carries no headline weight.

Every Tourism Performance Index pillar is in the headline.

Held out of the Culture Performance Index headline: Heritage & Assets, Identity & Wellbeing, Reach & Exports.

Tourism Performance Index

Tourism Performance Index pillars and their headline weights
PillarStated weightIn headlineHeadline weightIndicatorsGated indicators
Visitor Economy35.0%Yes35.0%130
Attractions, Culture & Events20.0%Yes20.0%60
Access & Market Position20.0%Yes20.0%91
Visitor Experience12.0%Yes12.0%20
Resilience & Balance13.0%Yes13.0%30

Culture Performance Index

Culture Performance Index pillars and their headline weights
PillarStated weightIn headlineHeadline weightIndicatorsGated indicators
Heritage & Assets15.0%No, attainment only at launch0.0%10
Participation & Learning25.0%Yes45.5%50
Identity & Wellbeing15.0%No, attainment only at launch0.0%20
Reach & Exports15.0%No, attainment only at launch0.0%20
Creative Economy & Talent20.0%Yes36.4%20
Ecosystem & Enablement10.0%Yes18.2%31

Sensitivity to pillar weights

The headline at the latest observed month under the stated weights, equal weights, and each pillar left out in turn. Little movement across rows means no single weighting choice carries it.

Tourism Performance Index

Tourism Performance Index headline sensitivity to pillar weights at 2026-09
WeightingVisitor EconomyAttractions, Culture & EventsAccess & Market PositionVisitor ExperienceResilience & BalanceHeadline
Stated weights35.0%20.0%20.0%12.0%13.0%102.9
Equal pillar weights20.0%20.0%20.0%20.0%20.0%102.4
Without Visitor Economy0.0%30.8%30.8%18.5%20.0%103.7
Without Attractions, Culture & Events43.7%0.0%25.0%15.0%16.3%101.0
Without Access & Market Position43.7%25.0%0.0%15.0%16.3%102.8
Without Visitor Experience39.8%22.7%22.7%0.0%14.8%103.5
Without Resilience & Balance40.2%23.0%23.0%13.8%0.0%103.7

Culture Performance Index

Culture Performance Index headline sensitivity to pillar weights at 2026-09
WeightingHeritage & AssetsParticipation & LearningIdentity & WellbeingReach & ExportsCreative Economy & TalentEcosystem & EnablementHeadline
Stated weights0.0%45.5%0.0%0.0%36.4%18.2%102.6
Equal pillar weights0.0%33.3%0.0%0.0%33.3%33.3%103.1
Without Participation & Learning0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%66.7%33.3%104.4
Without Creative Economy & Talent0.0%71.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%28.6%101.6
Without Ecosystem & Enablement0.0%55.6%0.0%0.0%44.4%0.0%102.2

Indicator library

Every indicator reads 100 over its base window, and each later month is its value as a ratio to the base average, seasonally adjusted where flagged. An indicator with direction -1 takes the reciprocal first, so a fall in the raw series is a rise in the index. A banded indicator reads 100 inside its band and falls the further outside it sits.

Gated in the published Tourism Performance Index spec: RPP Relative price position (real ADR vs peers).

Gated in the published Culture Performance Index spec: LCE Licensed creative enterprises and venues (gated).

Tourism Performance Index

Tourism Performance Index indicator library
IndicatorPillarUnitDirectionWeight in pillarAdjustment range2030 targetTreatment
TVS Total visitors (overnight and same-day, incl. cruise port-of-call)Visitor Economy000Rises with the index33.3%-30% to 30%3500.0Seasonally adjusted
ALS Average length of stay (nights per overnight visitor)Visitor EconomynightsRises with the index33.3%-30% to 30%n/aSeasonally adjusted
RSN Real spend per visitor nightVisitor EconomyAED (real)Rises with the index33.3%-30% to 30%n/aFeed: partial; Deflated to real terms; Seasonally adjusted
TSP Value anchor: total real visitor spend (not scored)Visitor EconomyAED m (real)Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Deflated to real terms; Seasonally adjusted
IVS International visitorsVisitor Economy000Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
IGN International guest nightsVisitor Economy000 nightsRises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
DGN Domestic guest nightsVisitor Economy000 nightsRises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
RVP RevPARVisitor EconomyAEDRises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Deflated to real terms; Seasonally adjusted
ADR Diagnostic: average daily rateVisitor EconomyAEDRises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Deflated to real terms; Seasonally adjusted
ALT Alternative accommodation guestsVisitor Economy000Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
NHS Non-hotel share of visitor spendVisitor Economy%Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight
EES Emirati share of tourism employmentVisitor Economy%Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight
GPT Diagnostic: tourism GVA per international visitorVisitor EconomyAEDRises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight
CFT Cultural and attraction footfall (heritage sites and Saadiyat museums)Attractions, Culture & Events000Rises with the index33.3%-30% to 30%n/aSeasonally adjusted
EVA Event attendanceAttractions, Culture & Events000Rises with the index33.3%-30% to 30%n/aSeasonally adjusted
MIC MICE delegatesAttractions, Culture & Events000Rises with the index33.3%-30% to 30%n/aFeed: manual; Seasonally adjusted
CSV Cultural site visitsAttractions, Culture & Events000Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
SCD Saadiyat museum footfallAttractions, Culture & Events000Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
ATF Third-party attraction footfallAttractions, Culture & Events000Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
RTE Destinations servedAccess & Market PositioncountRises with the index20.0%-30% to 30%n/aMonthly
LDF Load factorAccess & Market Position%Rises with the index20.0%-30% to 30%n/aSeasonally adjusted
CRC Cruise callsAccess & Market PositioncallsRises with the index20.0%-30% to 30%n/aSeasonally adjusted
SHR Share of UAE hotel guestsAccess & Market Position%Rises with the index20.0%-30% to 30%n/aFeed: partial
RPP Relative price position (real ADR vs peers)Access & Market PositionratioBanded20.0%-30% to 30%n/aGated: carries no weight; Candidate: carries no weight; Feed: partial; Deflated to real terms; Band n/a
PAX International passengersAccess & Market Position000Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
BRC Brand considerationAccess & Market Position%Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight
CRU Cruise passengersAccess & Market Position000Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
CMP Diagnostic: compset rate position (intra-Abu Dhabi)Access & Market PositionratioBanded0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Band 0.95 to 1.1
DVS Visitor overall satisfactionVisitor Experience0-10Rises with the index50.0%-30% to 30%n/aQuarterly
SNT Social net sentimentVisitor ExperiencescoreRises with the index50.0%-30% to 30%n/aMonthly
SEB Seasonal imbalance (peak:trough, rolling 12m)Resilience & BalanceratioBanded33.3%-30% to 30%n/aBand 1.4036 to 1.473
HHI Source-market concentration (HHI)Resilience & BalanceindexBanded33.3%-30% to 30%n/aBand 0.1113 to 0.117
RDP Regional dispersion (outside AD city)Resilience & Balance%Banded33.3%-30% to 30%n/aBand 12 to 20

Culture Performance Index

Culture Performance Index indicator library
IndicatorPillarDomainUnitDirectionWeight in pillarAdjustment range2030 targetTreatment
VPH Visitor pressure at heritage sites (visits ÷ capacity)Heritage & AssetsHistoric EnvironmentratioBanded100.0%-30% to 30%n/aFeed: partial; Band 0.6 to 0.9
CSM Cultural site and museum visits, resident (heritage sites and Saadiyat museums)Participation & LearningMuseums000Rises with the index33.3%-30% to 30%900.0Seasonally adjusted
CVR Cultural and heritage site visitors, residentParticipation & LearningCross-sector000Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
SMF Saadiyat museum footfallParticipation & LearningMuseums000Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aDiagnostic: carries no weight; Seasonally adjusted
FST Festival and flagship-event attendance, residentParticipation & LearningPerforming Arts000Rises with the index33.3%-30% to 30%450.0Feed: partial; Seasonally adjusted
LIB Library visitsParticipation & LearningPublishing, Literature and Libraries000Rises with the index33.3%-30% to 30%n/aSeasonally adjusted
MSA Museum visitor satisfactionIdentity & WellbeingMuseums0-10Rises with the index35.0%-30% to 30%n/aQuarterly
SNT Social sentiment on culture (shared with TPI)Identity & WellbeingCross-sectorscoreRises with the index25.0%-30% to 30%n/aMonthly
ISC International share of cultural visits (joint bridge)Reach & ExportsCross-sector%Rises with the index0.0%-30% to 30%n/aBridge: carries no weight
BAW International awareness as a cultural capitalReach & ExportsCross-sector%Rises with the index40.0%-30% to 30%n/aContinuous wave
GVC Long-stay residency applications, creative professionals (monthly)Creative Economy & TalentCross-sectorcountRises with the index40.0%-30% to 30%n/aMonthly
REC Resident spend on recreation and educationCreative Economy & TalentCross-sectorAED mRises with the index60.0%-30% to 30%n/aFeed: partial; Deflated to real terms; Seasonally adjusted
LCE Licensed creative enterprises and venues (gated)Ecosystem & EnablementCross-sectorcountRises with the index30.0%-30% to 30%n/aGated: carries no weight; Feed: partial
PSE Private and third-sector share of cultural eventsEcosystem & EnablementCross-sector%Rises with the index40.0%-30% to 30%n/aOngoing
EIS Earned income share of cultural institutionsEcosystem & EnablementMuseums%Rises with the index30.0%-30% to 30%n/aFeed: partial

Real terms

A deflated money series is divided by its index's deflator before it is normalised, so the index reads real spend. The deflator is flat at 100 until a price series is supplied, so real and nominal are the same figure today.

Tourism Performance Index: flat at 100 until a consumer price index is supplied. Deflated: RSN Real spend per visitor night, TSP Value anchor: total real visitor spend (not scored), RVP RevPAR, ADR Diagnostic: average daily rate, RPP Relative price position (real ADR vs peers).

Culture Performance Index: flat at 100 until a cultural price index is supplied. Deflated: REC Resident spend on recreation and education.

Stated and effective weights

The stated weight is the indicator's weight in its pillar times the pillar's weight; the effective weight is what the run applied. They differ wherever an indicator is gated, held at zero or in a held-out pillar, because the rest are re-normalised. Outside its band, one per cent past the nearest edge costs one point of score.

Tourism Performance Index

Tourism Performance Index stated and effective weights
IndicatorPillarRoleStated weightEffective weightBandBand reading
TVS Total visitors (overnight and same-day, incl. cruise port-of-call)Visitor EconomyScored11.67%11.67%n/an/a
ALS Average length of stay (nights per overnight visitor)Visitor EconomyScored11.67%11.67%n/an/a
RSN Real spend per visitor nightVisitor EconomyScored11.67%11.67%n/an/a
TSP Value anchor: total real visitor spend (not scored)Visitor EconomyDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
IVS International visitorsVisitor EconomyDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
IGN International guest nightsVisitor EconomyDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
DGN Domestic guest nightsVisitor EconomyDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
RVP RevPARVisitor EconomyDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
ADR Diagnostic: average daily rateVisitor EconomyDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
ALT Alternative accommodation guestsVisitor EconomyDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
NHS Non-hotel share of visitor spendVisitor EconomyDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
EES Emirati share of tourism employmentVisitor EconomyDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
GPT Diagnostic: tourism GVA per international visitorVisitor EconomyDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
CFT Cultural and attraction footfall (heritage sites and Saadiyat museums)Attractions, Culture & EventsScored6.67%6.67%n/an/a
EVA Event attendanceAttractions, Culture & EventsScored6.67%6.67%n/an/a
MIC MICE delegatesAttractions, Culture & EventsScored6.67%6.67%n/an/a
CSV Cultural site visitsAttractions, Culture & EventsDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
SCD Saadiyat museum footfallAttractions, Culture & EventsDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
ATF Third-party attraction footfallAttractions, Culture & EventsDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
RTE Destinations servedAccess & Market PositionScored4.00%5.00%n/an/a
LDF Load factorAccess & Market PositionScored4.00%5.00%n/an/a
CRC Cruise callsAccess & Market PositionScored4.00%5.00%n/an/a
SHR Share of UAE hotel guestsAccess & Market PositionScored4.00%5.00%n/an/a
RPP Relative price position (real ADR vs peers)Access & Market PositionCandidate4.00%0.00%n/an/a
PAX International passengersAccess & Market PositionDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
BRC Brand considerationAccess & Market PositionDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
CRU Cruise passengersAccess & Market PositionDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
CMP Diagnostic: compset rate position (intra-Abu Dhabi)Access & Market PositionDiagnostic0.00%0.00%0.95 to 1.1Inside the band, scoring 100
DVS Visitor overall satisfactionVisitor ExperienceScored6.00%6.00%n/an/a
SNT Social net sentimentVisitor ExperienceScored6.00%6.00%n/an/a
SEB Seasonal imbalance (peak:trough, rolling 12m)Resilience & BalanceScored4.33%4.33%1.4036 to 1.473Outside the band, scoring 98.2
HHI Source-market concentration (HHI)Resilience & BalanceScored4.33%4.33%0.1113 to 0.117Outside the band, scoring 95.5
RDP Regional dispersion (outside AD city)Resilience & BalanceScored4.33%4.33%12 to 20Inside the band, scoring 100

Culture Performance Index

Culture Performance Index stated and effective weights
IndicatorPillarRoleStated weightEffective weightBandBand reading
VPH Visitor pressure at heritage sites (visits ÷ capacity)Heritage & AssetsScored15.00%0.00%0.6 to 0.9Inside the band, scoring 100
CSM Cultural site and museum visits, resident (heritage sites and Saadiyat museums)Participation & LearningScored8.33%15.15%n/an/a
CVR Cultural and heritage site visitors, residentParticipation & LearningDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
SMF Saadiyat museum footfallParticipation & LearningDiagnostic0.00%0.00%n/an/a
FST Festival and flagship-event attendance, residentParticipation & LearningScored8.33%15.15%n/an/a
LIB Library visitsParticipation & LearningScored8.33%15.15%n/an/a
MSA Museum visitor satisfactionIdentity & WellbeingScored5.25%0.00%n/an/a
SNT Social sentiment on culture (shared with TPI)Identity & WellbeingScored3.75%0.00%n/an/a
ISC International share of cultural visits (joint bridge)Reach & ExportsBridge0.00%0.00%n/an/a
BAW International awareness as a cultural capitalReach & ExportsScored6.00%0.00%n/an/a
GVC Long-stay residency applications, creative professionals (monthly)Creative Economy & TalentScored8.00%14.55%n/an/a
REC Resident spend on recreation and educationCreative Economy & TalentScored12.00%21.82%n/an/a
LCE Licensed creative enterprises and venues (gated)Ecosystem & EnablementScored3.00%0.00%n/an/a
PSE Private and third-sector share of cultural eventsEcosystem & EnablementScored4.00%10.39%n/an/a
EIS Earned income share of cultural institutionsEcosystem & EnablementScored3.00%7.79%n/an/a

Shocks and effects

Shocks and policy effects act on drivers, and each indicator carries a sensitivity to every driver. A shock bites for its bite months and recovers linearly. An effect waits out its lag, ramps to peak, holds and decays, capped at the instrument's ceiling.

Tourism Performance Index drivers: Intl demand, Domestic demand, Access, Supply, Experience, Events, Perception.

Culture Performance Index drivers: Participation, Visitor access, Assets & venues, Talent & economy, Regulation & ecosystem, Reach.

Tourism Performance Index

Tourism Performance Index shock library
ShockLoadingsStartsBiteRecoveryCentral depthIn the published specSource
StabilityIntl demand 1.00, Perception 0.552026-043 months4 months22.0%ActiveA regional security event that cuts overseas demand and the destination's appeal.
AccessAccess 1.00n/a0 months0 months10.0%Switched offAirlines withdraw seats, so fewer flights reach the destination.
DemandIntl demand 1.00, Domestic demand 1.00n/a0 months0 months8.0%Switched offVisitors at home and abroad spend less, for example under cost pressure.

Culture Performance Index

Culture Performance Index shock library
ShockLoadingsStartsBiteRecoveryCentral depthIn the published specSource
Programme interruptionParticipation 1.002026-043 months4 months15.0%ActiveCultural programmes pause, for example closures or cancelled seasons.
Visitor-access disruptionVisitor access 1.002026-043 months4 months22.0%ActiveVisitors find cultural sites harder to reach.
Funding compressionRegulation & ecosystem 1.00n/a0 months0 months8.0%Switched offFunding for venues and programmes is cut.

The target path

The target is a straight line from 100 at the base midpoint to the 2030 headline goal at the target end month. The goal is the headline-weighted sum of each indicator's own target index. The gap to target is the policy pathway minus that line.

Tourism Performance Index: 1 of 33 indicators carry a 2030 target. An indicator without one is carried under the spec's rule for them, grow_with_pillar, and the line arrives at month 96.

Culture Performance Index: 2 of 15 indicators carry a 2030 target. An indicator without one is carried under the spec's rule for them, grow_with_pillar, and the line arrives at month 96.

Scenario bounds

Every scenario control is bounded by the spec. A value outside a bound is refused with the engine's message, never clamped.

Tourism Performance Index

Tourism Performance Index control bounds
ControlRangeMeasured in
Indicator adjustment-30 to 30per cent of the policy pathway, per indicator per month (default range pending capacity ceilings)
Instrument peak effect0 to the record's own ceilingfraction of the driver at peak, before take-up and haircut
Instrument take-up0 to 1fraction of the recorded population
Instrument lag0 to 12months after the start month
Instrument ramp0 to 12months to reach peak
Instrument duration0 to 36months at peak
Instrument decay0 to 12months from peak to nothing
Shock start1 to 60month, to the spec's horizon
Shock depth0 to 0.5fraction of the driver
Shock bite0 to 12months at full depth
Shock recovery0 to 24months back to nothing
Pillar weight0.05 to 0.6share of the headline, before re-normalisation

A peak-effect override is capped by the instrument's own ceiling.

Culture Performance Index

Culture Performance Index control bounds
ControlRangeMeasured in
Indicator adjustment-30 to 30per cent of the policy pathway, per indicator per month (default range pending capacity ceilings)
Instrument peak effect0 to the record's own ceilingfraction of the driver at peak, before take-up and haircut
Instrument take-up0 to 1fraction of the recorded population
Instrument lag0 to 12months after the start month
Instrument ramp0 to 12months to reach peak
Instrument duration0 to 36months at peak
Instrument decay0 to 12months from peak to nothing
Shock start1 to 60month, to the spec's horizon
Shock depth0 to 0.5fraction of the driver
Shock bite0 to 12months at full depth
Shock recovery0 to 24months back to nothing
Pillar weight0.05 to 0.6share of the headline, before re-normalisation

A peak-effect override is capped by the instrument's own ceiling.